2014年3月7日 星期五

季中評比:NBA本季進步最多的球員

NBA Players Who Have Upgraded Their Games This Season
NBA本季進步最多的球員

In order to determine which players have truly upgraded their games, the best tool to measure with isn’t traditional box-score stats like points, rebounds and assists because they don’t account for minutes.Player efficiency rating (PER)—John Hollinger’s per-minute, single-number metric—does a much better job of evaluating improvement.
為了決定哪位球員真的有進步,最好的評估工具不是傳統的攻守數據,像是得分、籃板和助功,因為他們跟上場時間無關。球員效率值—由John Hollinger的公式得到每分鐘的效率值—更能評估球員的進步程度。

8. Marcus Morris, Phoenix Suns, 4.3
第八名 Marcus Morris 太陽隊 球員效率值增加4.3 (2013-14 PER: 15.6 2012-13 PER: 11.3)
左邊:Marcus;右邊:Markieff
Marcus is averaging 2.2 more points and 0.5 more rebounds in just 2.1 more minutes.His shooting is significantly improved, as his field-goal percentage has jumped from .422 to .438 and his free-throw percentage has gone from .564 to .791.
Marcus在只有多2.1分鐘的上場時間下,多得了2.2分和0.5個籃板。他的投籃大幅提升,命中率從.422提升到.438,罰球命中率從.564提升到.791。

Furthermore, moving from power forward to small forward has helped him to extend his range. He’s averaging 1.2 three-point makes on .374 three-point shooting.
從大前鋒轉為小前鋒,讓他的攻擊範圍更大。平均每場1.2個三分球,其命中率為.374。

All those things combine for a massive leap in true shooting percentage(註一), which is up from .453 to .553. That’s not just playing more; it’s playing better.
這些全部加起來大幅提升他的真實投籃命中率,從.453提升.553。這不只是打得更久,而是打得更好。

7. Anthony Davis, New Orleans Pelicans, 4.7第七名 Anthony Davis 鵜鶘隊 球員效率值增加4.7 (2013-14 PER: 26.4 2012-13 PER: 21.7)

He’s averaging 20.1 points on .523 shooting. He’s also contributing 10.1 rebounds. And yes, the defense is there too, as he’s leading the league in blocks, with 3.1 per game.
他場均20.1分,命中率.523。他還有場均10.1個籃板。而且他還有防手,有聯盟最高的場均3.1個火鍋。

That makes him tied for the youngest player in NBA history to average 20 points and 10 rebounds per game. Only three players have accomplished this at just 20: Davis, Shaquille O’Neal and Elton Brand. Brand and Davis actually share the same birth date, March 11, so they would be tied for the youngest to the day.

他即將成為NBA史上最年輕達到場均20分、10籃板的球員。史上只有三位在20歲前達到:Anthony Davis、Shaquille O’Neal和Elton Brand。Brand和Davis生日剛好同一天,三月11日,所以他們同為最年輕達到場均20分、10籃板的球員。

5. Markieff Morris, Phoenix Suns, 5.0
並列第五名 Marcus Morris 太陽隊 球員效率值增加5.0 (2013-14 PER: 17.6 2012-13 PER: 12.6)
左邊:Marcus;右邊:Markieff
Markieff Morris has improved so much, he’s even improved more than his brother, Marcus.
Markieff Morris進步很多,甚至比他的兄弟Marcus還多。

His field-goal percentage has ballooned from .407 last season to .463 this year, and that seems to stem from the familiarity(註二) the two share. Markieff averages 18.5 points per 36 minutes on .480 shooting while with Marcus compared to 16.7 on .435 shooting when his sibling(註三) sits.
他的投籃命中率爆增,從去年的.407上升到今年的.463。似乎和兄弟間的默契有關。Marcus在場上時,Markieff 上場36分鐘平均18.5分、.480命中率。當兄弟坐板凳時,Markieff 上場36分鐘平均16.7分、.435命中率。

Both of the “Mori” appear to have bright futures with the Suns. 
Mori兄弟倆在太陽的前途一片光明。

5. Marco Belinelli, San Antonio Spurs, 5.0
並列第五名 Marco Belinelli 馬刺隊 球員效率值增加5.0 (2013-14 PER: 15.4 2012-13 PER: 10.4)

Belinelli is enjoying a career-high PER of 15.4, highlighted by his .456 shooting from deep and .505 shooting overall.
Belinelli正處於生涯新高的15.4球員效率值,他的三分球命中率.456,整體投籃命中率為.505。

Belinelli is one of the best in the league on the catch-and-shoot. In fact, per the NBA’s tracking data, only Kyle Korver has both a higher effective field-goal percentage(註四) and more points than Belinelli’s amazing .671 and 318 on such shots.
Belinelli是聯盟裡最好的接球立即投籃的球員之一。事實上,只有Kyle Korver同時有比較好的有效投籃命中率和更多的得分。Belinelli有驚人的.671有效投籃命中率並得到了318分。

As a result of his fit and shooting, Belinelli has lifted his overall scoring average by 2.0 points per game and 3.0 points per 36 minutes while raising his PER from 10.4 to 15.4.

由於他良好的融入和投籃,他的場均得分提高了2.0分,換成上場36分鐘的話則提高3.0分。而且PER從10.4提高到15.4。

4. Patrick "Patty" Mills, San Antonio Spurs, 5.3
第四名 Patrick "Patty" Mills 馬刺隊 球員效率值增加5.3 (2013-14 PER: 19.4 2012-13 PER: 14.1)

In November, he averaged 7.2 points and 1.5 assists. In December, it was 8.4 and 1.6. In January, it was 9.4 and 1.6. Now, in February, he’s exploding for 18.6 and 2.3. He’s done that mostly because of a boost in his true shooting percentage, which has been a remarkable .637 since January 1.
十一月時,他場均7.2分和1.5助功。十二月是8.4分和1.6助功,一月是9.4分和1.6助功。而二月則爆發到18.6分和2.3助功。主要歸功於投籃命中率的提升,從1月1號後就是完美的.637。

Those incremental month-by-month improvements add up. He’s averaging nearly twice as many points this year as last, knocking down 9.9 now compared to just 5.1. He’s doing more, and he’s doing it better.

這些每個月的成長加起來讓他的場均得分幾乎比去年多了一倍。去年5.1分,今年9.9分。他做得更多,而且更好。

3. Goran Dragic, Phoenix Suns, 5.3
第三名 Goran Dragic 太陽隊 球員效率值增加5.3 (2013-14 PER: 22.8 2012-13 PER: 17.5)

Goran Dragic is enjoying the best year of his career. His scoring is up from 14.7 points to 20.3, yet he’s playing only about one more minute. The only negative is that his assists are down slightly, from 7.4 to 6.3. 
Goran Dragic正處於生涯表現最好的一年。他的場均得分從14.7分提升到20.3,而且只多打了一分多鐘。唯一稍微下降的是他的場均助攻,從7.4降到6.3個。

Most tellingly, he’s scoring far more efficiently than he was last year. His true shooting percentage has gone from .540 to .606.
最顯著的進步是他的得分比去年有效率多了。他的真實投籃命中率從.540提升到.606。

2. Gerald Green, Phoenix Suns, 5.7
第二名 Gerald Green 太陽隊 球員效率值增加5.7 (2013-14 PER: 15.6 2012-13 PER: 9.9)

Gerald Green is the fourth (and final) Phoenix Sun on the list. That the Suns have four of the NBA’s eight most improved players is indicative of just what an amazing job Jeff Hornacek is doing as their rookie head coach.
Green是第四個(最後一個)太陽隊在名單上的球員。太陽隊有四位在NBA前八名進步最多球員中,說明了菜鳥教練Jeff Hornacek達成了令人驚艷的任務。

He enjoyed a career-high 36-point game this season against the Denver Nuggets and a game-winning three January 8 against the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Green今年對金塊隊拿下生涯新高的36分,而且在一月八號對灰狼的比賽投進致勝三分球。(影片連結:http://ppt.cc/Rott)

1. DeMarcus Cousins, Sacramento Kings, 5.9
第一名 DeMarcus Cousins 國王隊 球員效率值增加5.9 (2013-14 PER: 26.1 2012-13 PER: 20.2)

Not only has he improved his PER the most of anyone in the league, but of the 25 players in the top 100 who have improved by at least 3.0, Anthony Davis is the only one who had a higher PER last season. So his improvement has been the hardest to come by also. 
Cousins不只提升了聯盟最多的PER值,在前25位進步超過3.0 PER值中,只有Anthony Davis去年的PER值比他高。所以他的進步可以說是最難達到的。

Cousins has seen big boosts to his box-score stats, too, averaging 5.4 more points and 1.8 more rebounds a contest than last season. He’s raised his field-goal percentage from .465 to .483.
他的爆發也表現在得分數據上,場均比上個賽季多了5.4分和1.8個籃板。投籃命中率從.465提升到.483。

剩下的排名:

Exceptions:
例外:

Kevin Love, Minnesota Timberwolves, 9.9
Kevin Love 灰狼隊 球員效率值增加9.9


The problem is that last year he played just 18 games, and his 17.9 PER is deceptive. His last full season, the 2011-12 season, he boasted a 25.4. So, while this year he’s boasting a career high, it’s more realistically a 2.4 improvement than 9.9.
問題是他去年只打了18場比賽,他的PER值只有異常的17.9。因為他2011-12賽季的PER值有25.4,所以他的進步應該是2.4而不是不合理的9.9。

Dirk Nowitzki, Dallas Mavericks, 4.8
Dirk Nowitzki 小牛隊 球員效率值增加4.8

Dirk Nowitzki is certainly enjoying a resurgence(註五) to his career, with a PER of 24.6 compared to last season’s 19.8. However, it’s still a long way off from his career high of 28.1, back in 2005. Now 35 years old, he’s enjoying his best PER since he was 29, but that’s an argument for Comeback Player of the Year.
Nowitzki今年表現回春,PER值從上個賽季的19.8提升到24.6。但還是遠低於他生涯最高的28.1。35歲的他有29歲以來最高的PER值,但若要選為進步最多球員似乎有些爭議。

D.J. Augustin, Chicago Bulls, 5.1
D.J. Augustin 公牛隊 球員效率值增加5.1

If we look at only his time with the Chicago Bulls this season, where he’s played 1,014 of his 1,096 total minutes, Augustin has a PER of 16.1, a 5.1 improvement from last year’s 11.0, which would qualify him for the list.
如果我們只看他本季在公牛隊的表現,他的PER值進步了5.1,從11.0提升到16.1。而這個表現可以排入榜單之中。

However, he did have 82 horrible, awful, terrible minutes with the Toronto Raptors before he was waived(註六). That was bad enough to drag his overall PER for the season down to 15.0, which is just enough to keep Augustin out of the qualifying 100 top PERs.
但是他在被暴龍隊裁掉前有82場悽慘的表現,可以把他的PER值從16.1壓低到15.0。這樣他的PER值進步幅度連前100都排不上。

註一:True shooting percentage 真實投籃命中率 (TS%)
把罰球對於比賽的影響也整合進了命中率的一部分,公式如下:
TS% = pts / 2 * ( FGA + 0.44 * FTA )
計算有三個重點:
1. 把一次的標準投射得分定義成兩分,這樣就省去了三分的微調工作,因為就讓三分的權重變成1.5倍
2. 把每一次的罰球機會,都當作是半次的標準投射機會,所以分子就會變成一個很接近FTM的數據,罰球的權重大概也就變成了 0.5 倍。
3. FTA 常數用 0.44 而不是用 0.5 應該是微調結果的作法。


註二:Familiarity 熟悉、親近
造句:Familiarity with English is required for this position .
            這個職位要求精通英語。

註三:Sibling 兄弟姊妹
造句:I have 3 siblings , one bother and one sisters.
           我有三個兄弟姊妹,一個弟弟、一個妹妹。

註四:Effective field-goal percentage 有效投籃命中率 (eFG%)
把三分球對於比賽的影響也整合進了命中率的一部分来,可以更貼切的表現出一名球員的效率。公式如下:
eFG%=(FG + 0.5*3P)/FGA ; 得分效率=(命中次数+1/2三分球数量)/出手次数

註五Resurgence 復活、復甦
造句:Mr Lin' s resurgence is extraordinary.
            林先生的東山再起令人驚嘆。

註六Waived 放棄、裁掉


新聞來源:http://ppt.cc/kZyp


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