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亞投行
近況
瑞士也來了!
告訴大家一個最新的好消息:據昨天(20日)消息,繼英
國、德國、法國、義大利、盧森堡後,歐洲重要的金融中
心瑞士正式宣佈申請作為意向創始成員國加入亞投行。
沒想到,最後幾天還有最大驚喜,就是西方陣營正在瓦解,
法國德國義大利繼大英帝國之後,都報名要求加入亞投行,
一時間,西方主要發達國家,G7的主要成員,除了美國和
加拿大,都有加入亞投行的趨勢,要知道,亞投行的天然
老大就是中國,各國這麼個搞法,等於徹底表明了站隊的
立場。
可以說,選擇這個時候加入亞投行,絕對不是心血來潮,
這個就是西方發達國家暗中協商的結果,英國和澳大利亞
先來一下,法德意隨後跟進,連喘息的機會都不給美國。
這樣的局面,等於狠狠打了美國兩個耳光,一個耳光就是
老米的TPP看來徹底黃了,第二個耳光就是美國說中國搭老
米的順風車,看來也是扯淡,如今是世界人民都要搭中國
的順風車,還不帶上美國,還都願意中國做老大,你們說,
這個局面已經形成,美國還有什麼資格做世界老大?
下面我們就來具體分析下:
美國不久前還在逼韓國、澳大利亞不要加入亞洲基礎設施
投資銀行(亞投行),沒想到另一大西洋親密盟友英國
“倒戈”,與美國唱起了對臺戲。3月12日,英國成為最新
一個正式提交申請加入亞投行的國家,也是亞投行未來成
員國中首個西方七國集團(G7)國家。
英國的這一舉動顯然得罪了美國。奧巴馬政府的一名官員
13日表示:“我們對於那種不斷遷就中國的傾向十分警覺,
這不是同一個崛起中的強國打交道的最佳方式。”對於數
十年來一直是西方政策主心骨的美英“特殊關係”,美國
非常罕見地對英國這一親密盟友進行譴責,表明了對中國
想拉攏與美國關係密切的國家的擔憂。
的確,英國此舉在戰略上起到了“越頂外交”的效果。實
用主義、歷史視角與全球眼光是英國抓住中國全面深化改
革帶來的巨大機遇,領先西方國家的重要原因。實際上,
早在去年10月中國牽頭發起成立亞投行時,英國政府就多
次表示願意加入。
義大利總理倫齊、德國總理默克爾、法國總統奧朗德,法
德義大利追隨英國加入亞投行。
英國人看到,人民幣國際化有可能帶來下一輪金融變局。
因此,它必須捷足先登,卡好位置,在歐美國家中,最先
與中國簽署貨幣互換協議、建立人民幣清算機制、發行人
民幣債券,使倫敦再次成為歐洲人民幣市場的中心。
當然,英國加入並非意在得到貸款,而是想在亞投行平臺
上深化與中國的金融合作。中國正在展開的“一帶一路”
戰略的目的地是歐洲,而中德關係無疑是中歐關係的中流
砥柱,在德國未對加入亞投行發表意見時,英國及時加入。
如此一來,德國若在本月底之前不提出加入亞投行的意願,
那英國就在中歐金融合作中又占了先機。
英國媒體日前發表評論認為,英國在1840年至1842年與中國發生的鴉片戰爭中獲勝,
但170年之後這種關係已經完全逆轉。中國現在認為自己擁有很大的支配權。英國人
的不自信已經達到如此地步,以至於,現在還有一些英國人在與中國交流時懷著“帝
國之心”。中國已經成長為中美集團(G2)成員,但英國卻日益沒落。
這份報紙的分析有其道理。其實,英國從1945年起,到1997年香港回歸中國,40年
間,英國幾乎丟掉了幾個世紀以來所征服的全部殖民地。至今,英國國內有一種失敗
主義情緒——20世紀70年代末出現過這種情況。大家都聽任帝國的衰落,聽任英國成
為“歐洲病人”。
雖然前首相柴契爾夫人當政時扭轉了這種局面,但好景不
長,歷史再度重演,人人都認為英國解決不了債務問題,
因為金融危機已經把英國的國際地位降低。
兩任前首相布雷爾、布朗積極參加美國反恐戰爭的做法,
給人感覺英國仍然活躍在世界舞臺上,但英國的衰落早已
註定,布雷爾、布朗僅僅是延緩了這一進程。
英國相對于它的歐洲競爭對手處於劣勢。這印證了一個事
實:過去,人們在談到歐洲“三架馬車”時,習慣稱呼的
順序為:英國、法國、德國,但不幸的是,現在人們已改
口為:德國、法國和英國。
戰後70年來,由於德國經濟的強勢崛起,現有已成為歐盟
的“發動機”、“領頭羊”,這進一步削弱了英國在歐洲
的地位。有專家甚至預測,英國將淪為“二等國”,屆時,
英國將失去歐洲大國俱樂部的成員資格,從歐洲的“二等
國”進一步淪為世界的“三等國”。這將是對歐洲內部平
衡的一次打破,其後果甚至會向全球地緣政治擴散。
有這樣一個說法:看美國人做什麼,先聽英國人說什麼。
英國對美國維持霸權心思和現實處境,可謂心知肚明。英
國第一位駐華女大使吳百納今年2月份來北京任職時表示,
中英關係如今已經與英美之間長期特殊的關係“同等重要”
了,中國是崛起中的超級大國,英國顯然也需要與其搞好
關係。
那麼,靠近中國的最好辦法,就是加入由中國主導的亞投
行,一方面能搭上中國崛起的順風車擺脫英國滑向“三等
國”的噩夢,另一方面加強與中國的關係,改變英國是美
國“小跟班”的尷尬形象。就像英國財政部長奧斯本所說
的那樣,在亞投行成立階段就加入,會為英國和中國創造
共同投資和增長的舉世無雙的機遇。

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亞投行